DC Chip Capacitor Market Forecast 2014

Given that the production of DC chip capacitors continues to grow at an annual rate of 15%, it is reasonable to assume that this growth rate will persist before 2010. Although the Delphi forecasting method suggests this, advanced forecasting techniques such as the Box-Jenkins method also indicate that this is the only segment in the film capacitor market expected to maintain growth. The main reasons are as follows: diode

Currently, 92% of the world's production of DC film capacitors features radial or axial lead designs. In contrast, other dielectrics such as ceramic and tantalum capacitors have the opposite trend, with 90% of their output being surface-mount and only 10% featuring axial or radial leads. The sister market of DC film capacitors—aluminum electrolytic capacitors—is experiencing similar growth rates and undergoing the same transformation, as V-chip aluminum capacitors are replacing older radial-lead products.diode

From a structural perspective, DC film chip capacitors using PEN, PPS, and PET materials appear to be the primary growth products over the next five years. Lead-type capacitors, primarily radial lead capacitors, general-purpose 5mm PET film capacitors, and X/Y radial lead capacitors will decline, as will the AC and pulse markets for CRT degaussing circuits. Consequently, most film capacitor suppliers are focusing on film chip capacitors, as this represents the fastest-growing segment. Based on distributors' pricing levels, NPO ceramic capacitors will account for 30% of SMD chip capacitors, limiting the market to high-end audio and video imaging circuits, power supplies, and automotive electronic components where film characteristics are critically essential in the circuits.diode